Почему падает доллар

Международный валютный рынок ориентирован на национальную денежную единицу США. Поэтому большое значение имеют колебания ее цены, особенно, если показатели резко идут вверх или вниз. На основании изучения динамики значений можно установить, что происходит в сфере мировой экономики и предсказать что будет с долларом дальше. В настоящее время наблюдаются колебания стоимости USD, что заставляет настораживаться инвесторов разного уровня и рядовых держателей валюты. Почему падает доллар сегодня — главный вопрос, который волнует всех. Но ответить на него кратко нет возможности, слишком много факторов имеют значение в данном случае.

почему падает доллар сегодня

Почему падает доллар сегодня

Следует отметить, что если USD понижается в цене, обычно это означает повышение значений для рубля. С евро все немного сложнее — европейская валюта связан с долларом, но все-таки не так сильно завит от него. Чаще всего происходит следующее: если понижается в цене доллар, то за ним дешевеет и евро. Поэтому Евросоюзу выгодно поддерживать USD, а вот для российской валюты картина складывается противоположным образом. Тем не менее, уменьшение цены американской монеты может иметь крайне негативные последствия для всей мировой экономики. А потому следует разобраться в том, почему падает курс доллара сейчас.

почему падает доллар в 2019 году

Причины падения доллара

На стоимость валюты влияют в глобальном масштабе три фактора: престиж на мировом рынке, состояние национальной экономики и цены на нефть. Есть еще одна переменная, которую трудно учитывать при анализе котировок, но игнорировать нельзя — это последние новости из сферы не только экономики и финансов, но и геополитики. США — очень влиятельная мировая держава, ее отношения с другими странами тоже отражаются на цене национальной валюты. Например, с прошлого года на нее оказывает влияние введение санкций против Китая.

  • По мнению экспертов, американский президент поступил очень недальновидно, запретив торговлю с Поднебесной, на этом фоне, как только появились первые новости о санкционных правилах, доллар стал дешеветь на мировом рынке.
  • Как считают аналитики, данный факто оказывает ведущее влияние на рынок и до сих пор.
  • Однако в ответе на вопрос, почему падает доллар в 2019 году, фигурирует не одна причина, а сразу несколько.
  • И о них нужно знать, чтобы иметь возможность оценить достоверность прогнозов курса доллара на 2019 год, составленных экспертами.

Потому что некоторые из них говорят, что USD еще больше подешевеет в России и Беларуси, но подорожает в Украине. Другие уверены, что национальная валюта США вырастет к концу года чуть ли не в два раза. Но, если судить по текущей обстановке, то наиболее вероятным представляется сценарий стабилизации рынка и роста доллара на небольшое количество пунктов.

почему падает курс доллара

Стоимость доллара в 2019 году

Валютный рынок начал проседать с самого начала 2019 года как раз под влияем удешевления доллара. Его индекс понизился на 1,19%. Еще большее понижение произошло после заявления главы ФСР Джерома Пауэлла, предложившего смягчить кредитную политику США. К началу лета положение национальной американской валюты глобально не поменялось, поскольку не произошло каких-то значимых событий. Все так же продолжается торговое противостояние с Китаем, потихоньку Штаты делают поползновения в сторону японского рынка на предмет расширения связей на нем. Что будет дальше — предсказать можно приблизительно.

По данным специалистов Центробанка РФ, доллар будет значительно повышаться минимум дважды, но не пройдет ключевых значений, так что говорить о глобальной смене курса не придется.

Тем не менее, падение национальной американской валюты точно прекратиться в ближайшие недели. Сейчас руководство страны активно работает над решением внутри и внешнеполитических проблем, что должно положительно повлиять на курс USD. Скорее всего она за пару недель вырастет уже до 66-67 руб. за единицу.

Видео: Курс доллара и евро на конец мая 2019 года

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